Serie B · BrazilAtletico Goianiense vs Ceara prediction & analysis
Atletico Goianiense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 1.84 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.7 – 0.7 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Goianiense are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for Ceara.
Atletico Goianiense have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Ceara have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Atletico Goianiense, 0.7 for Ceara). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.19. For a bigger price, Atletico Goianiense to win at 1.84 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Goianiense to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.84 ▲ |
| Double chance | Atletico Goianiense or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Goianiense / FT Atletico Goianiense ✓ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.17 | – |
Form
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Avai | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Botafogo SP | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | @ Londrina | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Nautico Recife | 1–1 | D |
Ceara – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Nautico Recife | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Cuiaba | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Goianiense and Ceara.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ceara 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara?
Atletico Goianiense vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.