Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.48 – our chance 48% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓48% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Botafogo SP take on Novorizontino on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Cruz. Botafogo SP are 12th with 51 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Botafogo SP's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Nautico Recife 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Novorizontino's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Avai 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Novorizontino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo SP.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Botafogo SP and 1.4 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 2.48 – 48% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 0–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo SP28%fair 3.53 · @2.92
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Novorizontino48%fair 2.06 · @2.48
2.34Expected goals
0.96Botafogo SP xG
1.38Novorizontino xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.0 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Novorizontino 48%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 0–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
