Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✓67% · @1.55
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.88
Fortaleza EC vs Avai preview and prediction
The match
Fortaleza EC host Avai in the Serie B on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortaleza EC's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Goias 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Avai's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Novorizontino 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Fortaleza EC and 0.6 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fortaleza EC 1–0 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortaleza EC67%fair 1.49 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.70
Avai14%fair 7.03 · @6.40
2.32Expected goals
1.73Fortaleza EC xG
0.59Avai xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.7 – 0.6 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✓
67%
1.49
1.55
Double chance
Fortaleza EC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Fortaleza EC ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.88
–
Form
Fortaleza EC – last 6
WDWDDD
5 Sep
@ Goias
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Operario-PR
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Criciuma
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs São Bernardo
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Juventude
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Avai – last 6
LLWWWL
5 Sep
@ Novorizontino
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Ponte Preta
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Sport Recife
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Operario-PR
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs CRB
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza EC and Avai.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Avai 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza EC vs Avai?
Fortaleza EC vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
