Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Heriberto HülseCriciuma vs Juventude prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.0 – 0.9 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Criciuma hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 33% for Juventude.
Criciuma have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Juventude have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Juventude come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.0 for Criciuma, 0.9 for Juventude). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Criciuma have won 0, Juventude have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Juventude to win at 3.80 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Criciuma to win ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 23% | 4.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.50 | – |
Form
Criciuma – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ CRB | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | @ Botafogo SP | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Goias | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Athletic Club | 0–2 | L |
Juventude – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Londrina | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs CRB | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Goias | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Novorizontino | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 10 May 2026 | Juventude v Criciuma | 0–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Juventude?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Criciuma vs Juventude?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 33%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Juventude?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Criciuma vs Juventude?
Criciuma vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.