Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.49
Novorizontino vs Avai preview and prediction
The match
Novorizontino host Avai in the Serie B on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase. Novorizontino are 1st with 70 points from 37 games (top of the table), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Novorizontino's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Sport Recife 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Avai's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Atletico Goianiense 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Novorizontino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Novorizontino 1–2 Avai.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Novorizontino and 0.7 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Novorizontino to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Novorizontino 1–0 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino62%fair 1.60 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.80
Avai14%fair 7.03 · @7.00
2.42Expected goals
1.73Novorizontino xG
0.69Avai xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.7 – 0.7 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Avai?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avai 14%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Avai?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Avai?
Novorizontino vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
