Serie B · Brazil · Estádio da SerrinhaGoias vs Fortaleza EC prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Fortaleza EC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Goias 1.0 – 1.1 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Goias and Fortaleza EC on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Goias have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Fortaleza EC have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.0 for Goias, 1.1 for Fortaleza EC). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Goias have won 0, Fortaleza EC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Fortaleza EC to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fortaleza EC to win ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 21% | 4.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.65 | – |
Form
Goias – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs São Bernardo | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Cuiaba | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | vs Juventude | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Criciuma | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | vs Londrina | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ America Mineiro | 0–1 | L |
Fortaleza EC – last 6
| 31 Aug | vs Operario-PR | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Criciuma | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs São Bernardo | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Juventude | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Cuiaba | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Aug | vs Palmeiras | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 3 May 2026 | Fortaleza EC v Goias | 4–1 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Goias have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fortaleza EC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Goias vs Fortaleza EC?
Goias vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.