Value bet: Londrina to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.89
Londrina vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Londrina host Novorizontino in the Serie B on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias. Londrina are 18th with 35 points from 38 games (in the bottom three), while Novorizontino sit 1st on 70 points (top of the table). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Londrina's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Nautico Recife 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novorizontino's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Criciuma 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 March 2026, finished Novorizontino 1–3 Londrina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Londrina and 1.4 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Londrina to win at 3.80 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Londrina 1–1 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Londrina32%fair 3.16 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Novorizontino46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
2.54Expected goals
1.11Londrina xG
1.42Novorizontino xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.1 – 1.4 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Londrina vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Londrina vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Londrina have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novorizontino 46%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs Novorizontino?
Londrina vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
