Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Goias to win @ 2.64 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✗46% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.44
America Mineiro vs Goias preview and prediction
The match
Goias travel to Arena Independência in the Serie B on Sunday 26 July (22:30 WAT) to face America Mineiro. America Mineiro are 19th with 29 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Goias sit 7th on 58 points (in the top half). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
America Mineiro's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Avai 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goias's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Sport Recife 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goias arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for America Mineiro and 1.3 for Goias. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America Mineiro 30%, draw 24%, Goias 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Goias to win at 2.64 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: America Mineiro 1–1 Goias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America Mineiro30%fair 3.31 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
Goias46%fair 2.19 · @2.64
2.26Expected goals
0.97America Mineiro xG
1.28Goias xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.0 – 1.3 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✗
46%
2.19
2.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
America Mineiro – last 6
LDDLLL
21 Jul
@ Avai
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Ceara
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Londrina
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Cuiaba
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Operario-PR
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Criciuma
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Goias – last 6
DWDWWL
23 Jul
vs Sport Recife
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ CRB
2–2
D
5 Jul
vs Ceara
2–0
W
28 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Goias.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Goias?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Goias?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Goias 46%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Goias?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Goias?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Goias?
America Mineiro vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
