Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTecnico Universitario to win ✗47% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec preview and prediction
The match
Emelec travel to Estadio Bellavista in the Liga Pro on Wednesday 22 April (01:30 WAT) to face Tecnico Universitario. Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37 points from 36 games, while Emelec sit 10th on 45 points.
Form guide
Tecnico Universitario's last 4: WWDD Most recently they beat Aucas 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Emelec's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Guayaquil City FC 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tecnico Universitario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Tecnico Universitario and 0.9 for Emelec. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Emelec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tecnico Universitario47%fair 2.13 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Emelec31%fair 3.27 · @3.30
2.14Expected goals
1.23Tecnico Universitario xG
0.91Emelec xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.2 – 0.9 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tecnico Universitario to win✗
47%
2.13
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tecnico Universitario / FT Tecnico Universitario✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Form
Tecnico Universitario – last 4
WWDD
19 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Libertad
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 6
LLDLLW
18 Apr
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–3
L
13 Apr
@ Aucas
0–2
L
9 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Emelec.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Emelec 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec?
Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
