Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente del Valle to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓66% · @1.80
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.19
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
Independiente del Valle travel to Estadio Jocay in the Liga Pro on Wednesday 22 April (19:00 WAT) to face Delfin SC. Delfin SC are 14th with 38 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 46 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Delfin SC's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Orense SC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat UCV 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Delfin SC and 1.6 for Independiente del Valle. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Delfin SC 12%, draw 22%, Independiente del Valle 66%.
Safer route: Independiente del Valle or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Independiente del Valle to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Delfin SC12%fair 8.62 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.40
Independiente del Valle66%fair 1.51 · @1.80
2.14Expected goals
0.50Delfin SC xG
1.64Independiente del Valle xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–216%
0–012%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Delfin SC 0.5 – 1.6 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
66%
1.51
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.19
–
Form
Delfin SC – last 6
DWLLWD
19 Apr
@ Orense SC
0–0
D
11 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Macara
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Emelec
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 5
WDLWW
16 Apr
vs UCV
3–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rosario Central
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Emelec
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Delfin SC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Delfin SC have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente del Valle 66%.
How many goals will there be in Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle?
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
