Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Deportivo Cuenca take on Orense SC on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Orense SC sit 13th on 39 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to San Lorenzo 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Orense SC's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Delfin SC 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.0 for Orense SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Orense SC to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Orense SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Orense SC32%fair 3.14 · @3.70
2.39Expected goals
1.34Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.05Orense SC xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.3 – 1.0 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LWWLDW
17 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Santos
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Emelec
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Universidad Catolica
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Aucas
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orense SC – last 6
DWLWDL
19 Apr
vs Delfin SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Libertad
2–1
W
24 Mar
@ Aucas
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Macara
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orense SC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
