Leones del Norte vs Manta FC prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Leones del Norte or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.42
Leones del Norte vs Manta FC preview and prediction
The match
Manta FC travel to Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra in the Liga Pro on Wednesday 22 April (17:00 WAT) to face Leones del Norte. Leones del Norte are 9th with 47 points from 36 games, while Manta FC sit 16th on 33 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leones del Norte's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Aucas 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Manta FC's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to LDU de Quito 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Leones del Norte arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Leones del Norte and 0.4 for Manta FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones del Norte 65%, draw 23%, Manta FC 12%.
Safer route: Leones del Norte or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Leones del Norte to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leones del Norte or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leones del Norte 1–0 Manta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones del Norte65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.25
Manta FC12%fair 8.67 · @4.20
1.86Expected goals
1.46Leones del Norte xG
0.41Manta FC xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–016%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.5 – 0.4 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones del Norte to win✓
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Leones del Norte or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.42
–
Form
Leones del Norte – last 6
LLWDLD
17 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Guayaquil City FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Manta FC – last 5
LLDLL
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
24 Feb
@ Libertad
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones del Norte and Manta FC.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
Our pick is Leones del Norte or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manta FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Manta FC?
Leones del Norte vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
