Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 69% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win61% · @1.68
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–026% · fair 3.91
Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Universidad Catolica take on Leones del Norte on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Universidad Catolica and 0.3 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 61%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 14%.
Safer route: Universidad Catolica or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 69% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica61%fair 1.64 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Leones del Norte14%fair 7.04 · @5.25
1.53Expected goals
1.18Universidad Catolica xG
0.35Leones del Norte xG
45%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.2 – 0.3 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
61%
1.64
1.68
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
26%
3.91
–
Form
Universidad Catolica – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 14%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
