LDU de Quito travel to Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne in the Liga Pro on Sunday 8 March (01:00 WAT) to face Libertad. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Libertad and 1.6 for LDU de Quito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad 22%, draw 21%, LDU de Quito 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Libertad 0–1 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.80
LDU de Quito57%fair 1.75 · @1.84
2.45Expected goals
0.85Libertad xG
1.59LDU de Quito xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Libertad 0.9 – 1.6 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
57%
1.75
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Libertad – last 2
LW
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Libertad vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Libertad have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and LDU de Quito 57%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Libertad 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs LDU de Quito?
Libertad vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
