Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Aucas to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceAucas or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca preview and prediction
The match
Aucas host Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Deportivo Cuenca sit 11th on 47 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Libertad 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Aucas and 0.7 for Deportivo Cuenca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Aucas to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aucas or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Deportivo Cuenca17%fair 5.94 · @4.35
2.28Expected goals
1.61Aucas xG
0.68Deportivo Cuenca xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.6 – 0.7 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Aucas or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Form
Aucas
No recent results on record.
Deportivo Cuenca – last 4
WWLW
5 Mar
vs Libertad
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Macara
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Aucas or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Aucas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Cuenca 17%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
