Value bet: Tecnico Universitario to win @ 3.70 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMacara to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Macara vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction
The match
Macara host Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Orense SC 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Macara and 0.7 for Tecnico Universitario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Tecnico Universitario to win at 3.70 – 33% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Macara 0–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara44%fair 2.27 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Tecnico Universitario33%fair 3.07 · @3.70
1.70Expected goals
0.95Macara xG
0.75Tecnico Universitario xG
45%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Macara 1.0 – 0.7 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
44%
2.27
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Macara – last 4
WWDL
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Tecnico Universitario – last 1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Tecnico Universitario.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Macara have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tecnico Universitario 33%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Macara 0–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?
Macara vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
