Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.33
8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.09
Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Mushuc Runa SC host Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Mushuc Runa SC and 1.3 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mushuc Runa SC 34%, draw 22%, Universidad Catolica 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Universidad Catolica to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mushuc Runa SC34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Universidad Catolica44%fair 2.28 · @2.62
2.32Expected goals
1.06Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.26Universidad Catolica xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.1 – 1.3 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
44%
2.28
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.09
–
Form
Mushuc Runa SC
No recent results on record.
Universidad Catolica – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad Catolica 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
