Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.41
Emelec vs Delfin SC preview and prediction
The match
Delfin SC travel to Estadio George Capwell in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 March (01:00 WAT) to face Emelec. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Delfin SC sit 14th on 38 points.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Emelec and 0.5 for Delfin SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 62%, draw 20%, Delfin SC 18%.
Safer route: Emelec or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Emelec 1–0 Delfin SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.45
Delfin SC18%fair 5.66 · @5.00
1.73Expected goals
1.28Emelec xG
0.45Delfin SC xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.3 – 0.5 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✗
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Emelec or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emelec / FT Emelec✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.41
–
Form
Emelec
No recent results on record.
Delfin SC – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs LDU Portoviejo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Delfin SC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Emelec vs Delfin SC?
On our numbers Emelec have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Delfin SC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Delfin SC?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Delfin SC?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Delfin SC?
Emelec vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
