Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗69% · @1.47
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✗90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.81
LDU de Quito vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
Macara travel to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 March (18:00 WAT) to face LDU de Quito. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.7 for LDU de Quito and 0.4 for Macara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 69%, draw 22%, Macara 10%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito69%fair 1.45 · @1.47
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.10
Macara10%fair 10.43 · @6.75
2.07Expected goals
1.65LDU de Quito xG
0.42Macara xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–017%
0–013%
3–09%
1–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.7 – 0.4 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
69%
1.45
1.47
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.81
–
Form
LDU de Quito – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Macara – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Macara.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Macara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Macara?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macara 10%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Macara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Macara?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Macara?
LDU de Quito vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
