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Liga Pro · Ecuador · Alejandro Serrano Aguilar

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Barcelona SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 44% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗44% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.09

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC preview and prediction

The match

Barcelona SC travel to Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 March (23:00 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Barcelona SC sit 6th on 49 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.0 for Barcelona SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Barcelona SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Cuenca34%fair 2.92 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Barcelona SC44%fair 2.30 · @3.15
1.78Expected goals
0.81Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.98Barcelona SC xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 0.8 – 1.0 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona SC to win ✗44%2.303.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.30 ▲
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.09–

Form

Deportivo Cuenca – last 2

LW
22 Feb@ Delfin SC0–1L
14 Feb@ Macara2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 1

L
19 Febvs Argentinos JRS0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Barcelona SC.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barcelona SC 44%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.