Value bet: Ho Chi Minh to win @ 2.35 – our chance 45% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✗45% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh preview and prediction
The match
Thanh Hóa host Ho Chi Minh in the V.League 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Thanh Hóa are 11th with 25 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Ho Chi Minh sit 5th on 36 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Thanh Hóa's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Nam Dinh 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ho Chi Minh's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sanna Khanh Hoa 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ho Chi Minh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Thanh Hóa and 1.4 for Ho Chi Minh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thanh Hóa 33%, draw 22%, Ho Chi Minh 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Ho Chi Minh to win at 2.35 – 45% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Thanh Hóa 1–1 Ho Chi Minh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thanh Hóa33%fair 3.04 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Ho Chi Minh45%fair 2.22 · @2.35
2.49Expected goals
1.12Thanh Hóa xG
1.38Ho Chi Minh xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.1 – 1.4 Ho Chi Minh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ho Chi Minh to win✗
45%
2.22
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ho Chi Minh / FT Ho Chi Minh✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Thanh Hóa – last 4
LLDL
13 Mar
@ Nam Dinh
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Hai Phong
3–3
D
24 Feb
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ho Chi Minh – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Apr
vs Sanna Khanh Hoa
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Bình Phước
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Pho Hien
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Bắc Ninh
3–2
W
7 Mar
@ Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Văn Hiến
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thanh Hóa and Ho Chi Minh.
What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ho Chi Minh 45%.
How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–1 Ho Chi Minh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
