Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Nam Dinh to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNam Dinh to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceNam Dinh or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh preview and prediction
The match
The V.League 1 sees Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh take on Nam Dinh on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh are 8th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Nam Dinh sit 6th on 35 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Binh Duong 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Nam Dinh's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Da Nang 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nam Dinh arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 1.6 for Nam Dinh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 13%, draw 25%, Nam Dinh 63%.
Safer route: Nam Dinh or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Nam Dinh to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–1 Nam Dinh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh13%fair 7.97 · @3.90
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Nam Dinh63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
2.22Expected goals
0.58Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
1.63Nam Dinh xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0.6 – 1.6 Nam Dinh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nam Dinh to win✓
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Nam Dinh or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nam Dinh / FT Nam Dinh✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh – last 3
LWL
14 Mar
@ Binh Duong
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Thanh Hóa
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Song Lam Nghe An
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nam Dinh – last 5
WWWWL
18 Mar
@ Da Nang
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Thanh Hóa
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Pho Hien
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Phu Dong
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Viettel
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and Nam Dinh.
What is the prediction for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh?
On our numbers Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nam Dinh 63%.
How many goals will there be in Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh?
Our predicted score is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–1 Nam Dinh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh?
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Nam Dinh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
