Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Phu Dong or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Phu Dong to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhu Dong to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chancePhu Dong or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong preview and prediction
The match
The V.League 1 sees Hoang Anh Gia Lai take on Phu Dong on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Pleiku Stadium. Hoang Anh Gia Lai are 10th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Phu Dong sit 3rd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hoang Anh Gia Lai's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Da Nang 3–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Phu Dong's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Pho Hien 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Phu Dong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 2.0 for Phu Dong. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 15%, draw 22%, Phu Dong 63%.
Safer route: Phu Dong or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Phu Dong to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Phu Dong or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0–2 Phu Dong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hoang Anh Gia Lai15%fair 6.52 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.30
Phu Dong63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
2.91Expected goals
0.89Hoang Anh Gia Lai xG
2.02Phu Dong xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0.9 – 2.0 Phu Dong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phu Dong to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Phu Dong or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Phu Dong ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phu Dong / FT Phu Dong✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
Hoang Anh Gia Lai – last 3
DLL
13 Mar
@ Da Nang
3–3
D
7 Mar
vs Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Phu Dong – last 4
WLDL
21 Mar
vs Pho Hien
3–2
W
14 Mar
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Da Nang
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Nam Dinh
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Phu Dong.
What is the prediction for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong?
Our pick is Phu Dong or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong?
On our numbers Hoang Anh Gia Lai have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Phu Dong 63%.
How many goals will there be in Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong?
Our predicted score is Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0–2 Phu Dong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong?
Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Phu Dong (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pleiku Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
