Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: UNSW to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUNSW to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
UNSW vs Blacktown City preview and prediction
The match
UNSW host Blacktown City in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at The Village Green.
Form guide
UNSW's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Sydney Olympic 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Blacktown City's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat NWS Spirit 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
UNSW arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for UNSW and 1.5 for Blacktown City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: UNSW 44%, draw 20%, Blacktown City 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.45.
Value angle: UNSW to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: UNSW 1–1 Blacktown City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UNSW44%fair 2.28 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
Blacktown City36%fair 2.79 · @2.45
3.10Expected goals
1.65UNSW xG
1.46Blacktown City xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: UNSW 1.6 – 1.5 Blacktown City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UNSW to win✗
44%
2.28
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UNSW / FT UNSW✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
UNSW – last 6
LWDLWW
25 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs St George City FA
5–0
W
20 Mar
@ Sydney FC U23
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Blacktown City – last 6
WDLDLL
26 Apr
vs NWS Spirit
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Sydney FC U23
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs Wollongong Wolves
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ St George City FA
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs SD Raiders
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Sydney United
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNSW and Blacktown City.
What is the prediction for UNSW vs Blacktown City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win UNSW vs Blacktown City?
On our numbers UNSW have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Blacktown City 36%.
How many goals will there be in UNSW vs Blacktown City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNSW vs Blacktown City?
Our predicted score is UNSW 1–1 Blacktown City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is UNSW vs Blacktown City?
UNSW vs Blacktown City (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at The Village Green.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · The Village Green
Sutherland Sharks2
Marconi Stallions4
SD Raiders2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers3
NWS Spirit2
Manly United1
St. George Saints0
Western Sydney Wanderers U234
St George City FA0
Sydney FC U235