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New South Wales NPL · Australia · Ernie Smith Reserve

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 10.03

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers preview and prediction

The match

The New South Wales NPL sees SD Raiders take on APIA Leichhardt Tigers on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Ernie Smith Reserve.

Form guide

SD Raiders's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Western Sydney Wanderers U23 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat St. George Saints 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.0 for SD Raiders and 2.4 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SD Raiders 0–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

SD Raiders12%fair 8.67 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.20
APIA Leichhardt Tigers68%fair 1.46 · @1.53
3.39Expected goals
0.96SD Raiders xG
2.44APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%

From our goals model: SD Raiders 1.0 – 2.4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓68%1.461.53
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓88%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.761.62
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10%10.03–

Form

SD Raiders – last 6

WWLDWW
26 Apr@ Western Sydney Wanderers U232–1W
18 Aprvs St. George Saints1–0W
11 Apr@ Marconi Stallions1–6L
4 Aprvs Wollongong Wolves1–1D
29 Mar@ Blacktown City2–1W
21 Marvs Manly United3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6

WWDWWW
26 Aprvs St. George Saints2–1W
19 Aprvs Sydney Olympic4–1W
11 Apr@ UNSW1–1D
3 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers U234–1W
27 Mar@ Sydney FC U232–0W
21 Marvs Sutherland Sharks2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between SD Raiders and APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our pick is APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

On our numbers SD Raiders have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 68%.

How many goals will there be in SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our predicted score is SD Raiders 0–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

SD Raiders vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Ernie Smith Reserve.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.