Value bet: NWS Spirit to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNWS Spirit to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceNWS Spirit or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90
NWS Spirit vs Manly United preview and prediction
The match
NWS Spirit host Manly United in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Christie Park.
Form guide
NWS Spirit's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Blacktown City 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Manly United's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Marconi Stallions 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for NWS Spirit and 0.8 for Manly United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NWS Spirit 62%, draw 21%, Manly United 17%.
Safer route: NWS Spirit or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: NWS Spirit to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: NWS Spirit 2–0 Manly United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NWS Spirit62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Manly United17%fair 5.95 · @3.95
2.68Expected goals
1.85NWS Spirit xG
0.83Manly United xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: NWS Spirit 1.9 – 0.8 Manly United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NWS Spirit to win✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
NWS Spirit or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Half-time result
NWS Spirit ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NWS Spirit / FT NWS Spirit✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.90
–
Form
NWS Spirit – last 6
LLDWWL
26 Apr
@ Blacktown City
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Sydney United
2–3
L
12 Apr
@ Western Sydney Wanderers U23
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs UNSW
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ St. George Saints
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Rockdale City Suns
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manly United – last 6
LWWDLL
25 Apr
@ Marconi Stallions
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Rockdale City Suns
4–1
W
11 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sydney FC U23
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Sutherland Sharks
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ SD Raiders
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NWS Spirit and Manly United.
What is the prediction for NWS Spirit vs Manly United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NWS Spirit vs Manly United?
On our numbers NWS Spirit have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manly United 17%.
How many goals will there be in NWS Spirit vs Manly United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NWS Spirit vs Manly United?
Our predicted score is NWS Spirit 2–0 Manly United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NWS Spirit vs Manly United?
NWS Spirit vs Manly United (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Christie Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Christie Park
UNSW2
Blacktown City2
Sutherland Sharks2
Marconi Stallions4
SD Raiders2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers3
St. George Saints0
Western Sydney Wanderers U234
St George City FA0
Sydney FC U235