Value bet: Sydney FC U23 to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSydney FC U23 to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23 preview and prediction
The match
Sydney FC U23 travel to Penshurst Park in the New South Wales NPL on Saturday 2 May (10:15 WAT) to face St George City FA.
Form guide
St George City FA's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Rockdale City Suns 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sydney FC U23's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Sutherland Sharks 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sydney FC U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for St George City FA and 1.4 for Sydney FC U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St George City FA 38%, draw 23%, Sydney FC U23 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Sydney FC U23 to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: St George City FA 1–1 Sydney FC U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St George City FA38%fair 2.64 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Sydney FC U2339%fair 2.54 · @2.75
2.69Expected goals
1.33St George City FA xG
1.36Sydney FC U23 xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: St George City FA 1.3 – 1.4 Sydney FC U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney FC U23 to win✓
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney FC U23 / FT Sydney FC U23✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
St George City FA – last 6
LLDDLL
26 Apr
@ Rockdale City Suns
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Marconi Stallions
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Sydney United
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Blacktown City
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ UNSW
0–5
L
21 Mar
vs Wollongong Wolves
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sydney FC U23 – last 6
DDWDLL
24 Apr
vs Sutherland Sharks
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Blacktown City
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs St. George Saints
4–2
W
3 Apr
@ Manly United
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs UNSW
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St George City FA and Sydney FC U23.
What is the prediction for St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23?
On our numbers St George City FA have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sydney FC U23 39%.
How many goals will there be in St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23?
Our predicted score is St George City FA 1–1 Sydney FC U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23?
St George City FA vs Sydney FC U23 (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 10:15 (West Africa Time) at Penshurst Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Penshurst Park
UNSW2
Blacktown City2
Sutherland Sharks2
Marconi Stallions4
SD Raiders2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers3
NWS Spirit2
Manly United1
St. George Saints0
Western Sydney Wanderers U234