Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.39
Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction
The match
Sagan Tosu travel to Resonac Dome Oita in the J2 League on Sunday 10 May (06:00 WAT) to face Oita Trinita. Oita Trinita are 11th with 22 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Sagan Tosu sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oita Trinita's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Kagoshima United 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sagan Tosu's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Gainare Tottori 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sagan Tosu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Sagan Tosu 0–1 Oita Trinita.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Oita Trinita and 1.1 for Sagan Tosu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Oita Trinita 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oita Trinita37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Sagan Tosu38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
2.25Expected goals
1.12Oita Trinita xG
1.14Sagan Tosu xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.1 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sagan Tosu 38%.
How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?
Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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