Value bet: Jubilo Iwata to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJubilo Iwata to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata preview and prediction
The match
Jubilo Iwata travel to Toho in the J2 League on Sunday 10 May (06:00 WAT) to face Fukushima United.
Form guide
Fukushima United's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Omiya Ardija 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jubilo Iwata's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Ventforet Kofu 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Jubilo Iwata arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for Fukushima United and 1.8 for Jubilo Iwata. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fukushima United 25%, draw 17%, Jubilo Iwata 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Jubilo Iwata to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fukushima United 1–1 Jubilo Iwata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fukushima United25%fair 3.97 · @3.55
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @3.55
Jubilo Iwata58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
2.91Expected goals
1.08Fukushima United xG
1.83Jubilo Iwata xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Fukushima United 1.1 – 1.8 Jubilo Iwata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jubilo Iwata to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.36
Half-time result
Jubilo Iwata ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jubilo Iwata / FT Jubilo Iwata✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Fukushima United – last 6
LWLLLW
3 May
vs Omiya Ardija
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Parceiro Nagano
3–1
W
25 Apr
vs Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs FC Gifu
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Iwaki
2–3
L
4 Apr
@ Consadole Sapporo
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jubilo Iwata – last 6
WWWWLL
6 May
@ Ventforet Kofu
2–1
W
25 Apr
vs FC Gifu
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Omiya Ardija
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Ventforet Kofu
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Iwaki
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Omiya Ardija
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fukushima United and Jubilo Iwata.
What is the prediction for Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata?
On our numbers Fukushima United have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Jubilo Iwata 58%.
How many goals will there be in Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata?
Our predicted score is Fukushima United 1–1 Jubilo Iwata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata?
Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.