Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗44% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC preview and prediction

The match

Fujieda MYFC travel to Sunpro Alwin in the J2 League on Sunday 10 May (06:00 WAT) to face Matsumoto Yamaga.

Form guide

Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat FC Gifu 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Fujieda MYFC's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Consadole Sapporo 1–2 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Fujieda MYFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Fujieda MYFC 2–0 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.4 for Fujieda MYFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Matsumoto Yamaga 44%, draw 22%, Fujieda MYFC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Fujieda MYFC to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Fujieda MYFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Matsumoto Yamaga44%fair 2.30 · @2.00

Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20

Fujieda MYFC35%fair 2.88 · @3.20

2.97Expected goals

1.58Matsumoto Yamaga xG

1.39Fujieda MYFC xG

60%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–28%

0–17%

2–06%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.6 – 1.4 Fujieda MYFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✗	44%	2.30	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.66	1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.51	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗	25%	3.97	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.20	–

Form

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

WLLLWW

6 May	@ FC Gifu	3–0	W
3 May	vs Ventforet Kofu	0–1	L
26 Apr	vs Parceiro Nagano	0–1	L
18 Apr	@ Consadole Sapporo	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Omiya Ardija	4–1	W
29 Mar	@ Fukushima United	3–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Fujieda MYFC – last 6

LWWLWW

29 Apr	@ Consadole Sapporo	1–2	L
18 Apr	@ Ventforet Kofu	1–0	W
11 Apr	@ FC Gifu	2–1	W
4 Apr	vs Parceiro Nagano	0–2	L
14 Mar	@ Omiya Ardija	2–1	W
1 Mar	@ Iwaki	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fujieda MYFC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Fujieda MYFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes