Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMontedio Yamagata to win ✗40% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara preview and prediction

The match

Montedio Yamagata host Sagamihara in the J2 League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Form guide

Montedio Yamagata's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sagamihara's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Blaublitz Akita 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Sagamihara 2–1 Montedio Yamagata.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.4 for Sagamihara. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Win chances: Montedio Yamagata 40%, draw 24%, Sagamihara 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Sagamihara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Montedio Yamagata40%fair 2.52 · @2.30

Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20

Sagamihara37%fair 2.73 · @2.62

2.90Expected goals

1.48Montedio Yamagata xG

1.42Sagamihara xG

61%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

0–18%

2–26%

From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.5 – 1.4 Sagamihara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Montedio Yamagata to win ✗	40%	2.52	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Montedio Yamagata / FT Montedio Yamagata ✗	23%	4.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.66	–

Form

Montedio Yamagata – last 6

LLLWWW

6 May	vs Thespakusatsu Gunma	1–2	L
29 Apr	@ Blaublitz Akita	0–2	L
25 Apr	@ Vegalta Sendai	0–1	L
19 Apr	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
12 Apr	vs Yokohama FC	1–0	W
5 Apr	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sagamihara – last 6

WWWLLL

6 May	@ Blaublitz Akita	1–0	W
29 Apr	vs Tochigi City	1–0	W
19 Apr	@ Tochigi SC	2–0	W
12 Apr	vs Vegalta Sendai	0–3	L
21 Mar	vs Yokohama FC	2–4	L
14 Mar	@ Vegalta Sendai	1–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sagamihara 37%.

How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Sagamihara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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