Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Albirex Niigata to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbirex Niigata to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.21
Albirex Niigata vs Imabari preview and prediction
The match
Imabari travel to Denka Big Swan Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 18 April (06:00 WAT) to face Albirex Niigata. Albirex Niigata are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Imabari sit 19th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Albirex Niigata's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Kochi United 1–2 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Imabari's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Ehime FC 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Imabari 0–2 Albirex Niigata.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Albirex Niigata and 0.9 for Imabari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Albirex Niigata to win at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–0 Imabari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albirex Niigata50%fair 2.01 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Imabari28%fair 3.59 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.37Albirex Niigata xG
0.92Imabari xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 1.4 – 0.9 Imabari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Imabari 28%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–0 Imabari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Imabari?
Albirex Niigata vs Imabari (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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