Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 18 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✓70% · @1.48

Double chanceVegalta Sendai or draw ✓90% · @1.09

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62

Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City preview and prediction

The match

Vegalta Sendai host Tochigi City in the J2 League on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai. Vegalta Sendai are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Vegalta Sendai's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sagamihara 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tochigi City's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Vanraure Hachinohe 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.

Vegalta Sendai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Vegalta Sendai and 0.8 for Tochigi City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Vegalta Sendai 70%, draw 20%, Tochigi City 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Vegalta Sendai to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vegalta Sendai 2–0 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vegalta Sendai70%fair 1.43 · @1.48

Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.00

Tochigi City10%fair 9.66 · @5.75

3.15Expected goals

2.33Vegalta Sendai xG

0.82Tochigi City xG

58%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%

1–010%

2–110%

3–09%

1–18%

3–17%

From our goals model: Vegalta Sendai 2.3 – 0.8 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Vegalta Sendai to win ✓	70%	1.43	1.48
Double chance	Vegalta Sendai or draw ✓	90%	1.12	1.09
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	60%	1.66	1.57
Half-time result	Vegalta Sendai ahead at half-time ✓	52%	1.93	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Vegalta Sendai / FT Vegalta Sendai ✓	47%	2.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	12%	8.62	–

Form

Vegalta Sendai – last 5

WWWWW

12 Apr	@ Sagamihara	3–0	W
22 Mar	@ Montedio Yamagata	1–0	W
14 Mar	vs Sagamihara	3–1	W
22 Feb	@ Tochigi SC	2–1	W
14 Feb	@ Yokohama FC	1–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.4Conceded / game

40%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Tochigi City – last 6

LWLWLL

12 Apr	vs Vanraure Hachinohe	2–4	L
29 Mar	@ Montedio Yamagata	2–1	W
22 Mar	@ Tochigi SC	2–3	L
15 Mar	@ Vanraure Hachinohe	1–0	W
28 Feb	vs Shonan Bellmare	1–3	L
22 Feb	@ Yokohama FC	1–5	L

1.5Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?

Our pick is Vegalta Sendai to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?

On our numbers Vegalta Sendai have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tochigi City 10%.

How many goals will there be in Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?

Our predicted score is Vegalta Sendai 2–0 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?

Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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