Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 18 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗39% · @3.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Consadole Sapporo take on Matsumoto Yamaga on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium.

Form guide

Consadole Sapporo's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Ventforet Kofu 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Omiya Ardija 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.

Matsumoto Yamaga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Matsumoto Yamaga 3–0 Consadole Sapporo.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Consadole Sapporo and 1.4 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Consadole Sapporo 39%, draw 22%, Matsumoto Yamaga 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Matsumoto Yamaga to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Consadole Sapporo39%fair 2.58 · @2.05

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.55

Matsumoto Yamaga39%fair 2.56 · @3.00

2.88Expected goals

1.44Consadole Sapporo xG

1.44Matsumoto Yamaga xG

60%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–28%

2–18%

0–18%

1–08%

2–26%

From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 1.4 – 1.4 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✗	39%	2.56	3.00 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.67	1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.33
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗	22%	4.54	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.91	–

Form

Consadole Sapporo – last 6

LLWWLL

11 Apr	@ Ventforet Kofu	1–2	L
4 Apr	vs Fukushima United	0–2	L
21 Mar	vs Ventforet Kofu	1–0	W
14 Mar	@ Jubilo Iwata	1–0	W
7 Mar	@ Matsumoto Yamaga	0–3	L
28 Feb	vs FC Gifu	1–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

WWWWLW

12 Apr	vs Omiya Ardija	4–1	W
29 Mar	@ Fukushima United	3–1	W
14 Mar	@ Parceiro Nagano	5–0	W
7 Mar	vs Consadole Sapporo	3–0	W
28 Feb	@ Ventforet Kofu	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Jubilo Iwata	2–1	W

2.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Matsumoto Yamaga 39%.

How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Consadole Sapporo vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Atsubetsu Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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