Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✗66% · @1.48
Double chanceShonan Bellmare or draw ✗87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Shonan Bellmare take on Thespakusatsu Gunma on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Form guide
Shonan Bellmare's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Blaublitz Akita 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tochigi SC 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Shonan Bellmare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Thespakusatsu Gunma 0–2 Shonan Bellmare.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Shonan Bellmare and 0.8 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Shonan Bellmare 2–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shonan Bellmare66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.65
Thespakusatsu Gunma13%fair 7.96 · @6.75
2.88Expected goals
2.08Shonan Bellmare xG
0.80Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shonan Bellmare 2.1 – 0.8 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Shonan Bellmare have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 13%.
How many goals will there be in Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Shonan Bellmare 2–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Shonan Bellmare vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Matsumoto Yamaga1
Renofa Yamaguchi2
Kagoshima United1
Kanazawa1
Nara Club1
Kamatamare Sanuki1