Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction
The match
Tegevajaro Miyazaki host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J2 League on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.
Form guide
Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Biwako Shiga 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Oita Trinita 3–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.9 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tegevajaro Miyazaki56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Renofa Yamaguchi21%fair 4.71 · @3.65
2.46Expected goals
1.60Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
0.86Renofa Yamaguchi xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.6 – 0.9 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6
LWWWWW
29 Mar
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Oita Trinita
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kitakyushu
3–2
W
28 Feb
@ FC Ryukyu
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Sagan Tosu
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 5
WLWLW
29 Mar
vs Oita Trinita
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Kitakyushu
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Sagan Tosu
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Kagoshima United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Renofa Yamaguchi.
What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Renofa Yamaguchi 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.