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Today's tips
J2 League · Japan · Shiranami Stadium

Kagoshima United

WWWWW
1–1
–Pens 8–7

Kitakyushu

WWLLL

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Kagoshima United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Kagoshima United take on Kitakyushu on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Shiranami Stadium.

Form guide

Kagoshima United's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Roasso Kumamoto 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kitakyushu's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat FC Ryukyu 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Kagoshima United and 0.6 for Kitakyushu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kagoshima United to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 1–0 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kagoshima United65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.70
Kitakyushu13%fair 7.48 · @4.33
2.31Expected goals
1.71Kagoshima United xG
0.60Kitakyushu xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.7 – 0.6 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✗65%1.541.60
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Half-time resultKagoshima United ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.89–

Form

Kagoshima United – last 5

WWWWW
29 Mar@ Roasso Kumamoto1–0W
15 Marvs Biwako Shiga1–0W
28 Feb@ Sagan Tosu1–0W
22 Febvs Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
15 Febvs FC Ryukyu3–1W
1.4Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

WWLLLL
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
22 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
14 Mar@ Sagan Tosu0–1L
7 Marvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3L
28 Febvs Biwako Shiga1–2L
22 Feb@ Roasso Kumamoto1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kagoshima United and Kitakyushu.

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Vanraure Hachinohe0 Montedio Yamagata2 140%2.15X24%3.10236%3.25 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Imabari0 Ehime FC1 144%2.10X22%3.20234%3.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
– Matsumoto Yamaga2 Iwaki2 Pens 4–5 125%3.55X15%3.60261%1.85 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Tokushima Vortis1 Osaka0 166%1.65X22%3.55212%4.75 1Tokushima Vortis to win 66%@1.65 ✓
FT Kataller Toyama5 Nara Club2 162%1.50X20%3.85218%5.80 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Kochi United2 Kamatamare Sanuki0 161%1.85X21%3.20218%4.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Sagan Tosu0 Oita Trinita1 163%1.80X23%3.30214%3.70 1XSagan Tosu or draw 86%@1.22 ✗
FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki3 Renofa Yamaguchi0 156%1.95X23%3.20221%3.65 1XTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Kagoshima United to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kitakyushu 13%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu?

Kagoshima United vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.