Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sagan Tosu to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceSagan Tosu or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction
The match
Sagan Tosu travel to Heiwado HATO Stadium in the J2 League on Sunday 22 March (07:00 WAT) to face Biwako Shiga.
Form guide
Biwako Shiga's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Kagoshima United 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sagan Tosu's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Kitakyushu 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Biwako Shiga and 1.6 for Sagan Tosu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Sagan Tosu to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sagan Tosu or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Biwako Shiga 0–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Biwako Shiga17%fair 5.74 · @3.95
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.55
Sagan Tosu60%fair 1.65 · @1.77
2.38Expected goals
0.73Biwako Shiga xG
1.65Sagan Tosu xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Biwako Shiga 0.7 – 1.6 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✓
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Sagan Tosu or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.56
–
Form
Biwako Shiga – last 5
LWWLL
15 Mar
@ Kagoshima United
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Kitakyushu
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Oita Trinita
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 4
WLLL
14 Mar
vs Kitakyushu
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Kagoshima United
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Biwako Shiga and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Sagan Tosu or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Biwako Shiga have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sagan Tosu 60%.
How many goals will there be in Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Biwako Shiga 0–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu?
Biwako Shiga vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tochigi SC3
Kanazawa0
Osaka0
Ehime FC1
Kochi United0
Kamatamare Sanuki3
Nara Club1
Gainare Tottori0
Kagoshima United0
Renofa Yamaguchi0
Kitakyushu1