Value bet: Tokushima Vortis to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✗50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis preview and prediction
The match
Imabari host Tokushima Vortis in the J2 League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Arigato Service Dream. Imabari are 19th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Tokushima Vortis sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Imabari's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Kochi United 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Tokushima Vortis's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Kamatamare Sanuki 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tokushima Vortis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Imabari and 1.5 for Tokushima Vortis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Tokushima Vortis to win at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Imabari 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imabari28%fair 3.51 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Tokushima Vortis50%fair 2.02 · @2.25
2.51Expected goals
1.03Imabari xG
1.48Tokushima Vortis xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Imabari 1.0 – 1.5 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokushima Vortis to win✗
50%
2.02
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokushima Vortis / FT Tokushima Vortis✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.34
–
Form
Imabari – last 5
LLLWL
14 Mar
@ Kochi United
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Albirex Niigata
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Osaka
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Nara Club
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tokushima Vortis – last 5
WWWLW
15 Mar
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Kanazawa
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Ehime FC
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Kataller Toyama
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Albirex Niigata
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imabari and Tokushima Vortis.
What is the prediction for Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis?
On our numbers Imabari have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tokushima Vortis 50%.
How many goals will there be in Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our predicted score is Imabari 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis?
Imabari vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Arigato Service Dream.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.