Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Montedio Yamagata take on Vegalta Sendai on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Vegalta Sendai sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Montedio Yamagata's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Shonan Bellmare 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vegalta Sendai's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Sagamihara 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Vegalta Sendai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.5 for Vegalta Sendai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Vegalta Sendai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montedio Yamagata29%fair 3.40 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Vegalta Sendai49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
2.68Expected goals
1.13Montedio Yamagata xG
1.55Vegalta Sendai xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.1 – 1.5 Vegalta Sendai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vegalta Sendai to win✓
49%
2.05
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vegalta Sendai / FT Vegalta Sendai✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.39
–
Form
Montedio Yamagata – last 4
LLLW
14 Mar
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Blaublitz Akita
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sagamihara
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Vegalta Sendai – last 3
WWW
14 Mar
vs Sagamihara
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Yokohama FC
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Vegalta Sendai.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vegalta Sendai 49%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Vegalta Sendai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai?
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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