Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Renofa Yamaguchi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗66% · @1.68
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.41
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
Renofa Yamaguchi host Kitakyushu in the J2 League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Form guide
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Sagan Tosu 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Kitakyushu's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Sagan Tosu 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Renofa Yamaguchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 0.7 for Kitakyushu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Safer route: Renofa Yamaguchi or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Renofa Yamaguchi to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Renofa Yamaguchi66%fair 1.52 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.45
Kitakyushu14%fair 6.99 · @4.60
2.65Expected goals
1.91Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.74Kitakyushu xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.9 – 0.7 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✗
66%
1.52
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Renofa Yamaguchi or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Renofa Yamaguchi ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.41
–
Form
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 3
WLW
7 Mar
vs Sagan Tosu
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Kagoshima United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kitakyushu – last 5
LLLLL
14 Mar
@ Sagan Tosu
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Oita Trinita
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kitakyushu 14%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.