Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Kitakyushu take on Tegevajaro Miyazaki on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Form guide
Kitakyushu's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Biwako Shiga 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat FC Ryukyu 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Kitakyushu and 2.1 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 0–2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitakyushu15%fair 6.78 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.55
Tegevajaro Miyazaki63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
3.13Expected goals
0.98Kitakyushu xG
2.15Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 1.0 – 2.1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✓
63%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.36
Half-time result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Kitakyushu – last 3
LLL
28 Feb
vs Biwako Shiga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ Oita Trinita
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ FC Ryukyu
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Sagan Tosu
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Gainare Tottori
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our pick is Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 63%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 0–2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Matsumoto Yamaga3
Kochi United2
Renofa Yamaguchi2