Value bet: Albirex Niigata to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbirex Niigata to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United preview and prediction
The match
Kochi United travel to Denka Big Swan Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 7 March (06:00 WAT) to face Albirex Niigata.
Form guide
Albirex Niigata's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Imabari 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Albirex Niigata and 1.0 for Kochi United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albirex Niigata 61%, draw 19%, Kochi United 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Albirex Niigata to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Albirex Niigata 1–1 Kochi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albirex Niigata61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.55
Kochi United20%fair 4.94 · @4.10
2.98Expected goals
1.96Albirex Niigata xG
1.01Kochi United xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Albirex Niigata 2.0 – 1.0 Kochi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albirex Niigata to win✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
Albirex Niigata ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albirex Niigata / FT Albirex Niigata✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Albirex Niigata – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Imabari
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kochi United – last 2
WW
1 Mar
vs Nara Club
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Kanazawa
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albirex Niigata and Kochi United.
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United?
On our numbers Albirex Niigata have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kochi United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United?
Our predicted score is Albirex Niigata 1–1 Kochi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United?
Albirex Niigata vs Kochi United (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Matsumoto Yamaga3
Renofa Yamaguchi2
Kitakyushu2