Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultVegalta Sendai to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare preview and prediction
The match
Shonan Bellmare travel to Yurtec Stadium Sendai in the J2 League on Saturday 7 March (06:00 WAT) to face Vegalta Sendai. Vegalta Sendai are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Shonan Bellmare sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shonan Bellmare's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Tochigi City 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Vegalta Sendai and 1.3 for Shonan Bellmare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Shonan Bellmare to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vegalta Sendai41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Shonan Bellmare36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.39Vegalta Sendai xG
1.28Shonan Bellmare xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vegalta Sendai 1.4 – 1.3 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vegalta Sendai to win✗
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vegalta Sendai / FT Vegalta Sendai✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Vegalta Sendai – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Yokohama FC
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ Tochigi City
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Sagamihara
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vegalta Sendai and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers Vegalta Sendai have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shonan Bellmare 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare?
Vegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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