Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija preview and prediction
The match
Omiya Ardija travel to Iwaki Greenfield in the J2 League on Saturday 7 March (06:00 WAT) to face Iwaki. Iwaki are 8th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Omiya Ardija sit 5th on 30 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Omiya Ardija's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Parceiro Nagano 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Iwaki and 1.6 for Omiya Ardija. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Iwaki 1–1 Omiya Ardija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iwaki37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Omiya Ardija40%fair 2.47 · @2.25
3.10Expected goals
1.51Iwaki xG
1.59Omiya Ardija xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Iwaki 1.5 – 1.6 Omiya Ardija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Omiya Ardija to win✗
40%
2.47
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Iwaki – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Fukushima United
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Omiya Ardija – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ Parceiro Nagano
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Fukushima United
6–0
W
14 Feb
vs Consadole Sapporo
3–2
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iwaki and Omiya Ardija.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Omiya Ardija 40%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?
Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–1 Omiya Ardija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija?
Iwaki vs Omiya Ardija (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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