Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Real Madrid vs Benfica preview and prediction
The match
Benfica travel to Bernabéu in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 25 February (21:00 WAT) to face Real Madrid.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Benfica 0–1 Real Madrid.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Real Madrid and 1.0 for Benfica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid 62%, draw 22%, Benfica 17%.
Safer route: Real Madrid or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Real Madrid 2–0 Benfica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid62%fair 1.62 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.50
Benfica17%fair 5.93 · @5.10
3.03Expected goals
2.05Real Madrid xG
0.98Benfica xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid 2.1 – 1.0 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Benfica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Benfica?
On our numbers Real Madrid have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Benfica 17%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs Benfica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2–0 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid vs Benfica?
Real Madrid vs Benfica (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bernabéu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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