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UEFA Champions League · Europe · Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✗66% · @1.27
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco preview and prediction

The match

The UEFA Champions League sees Paris Saint Germain take on Monaco on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Parc des Princes.

Form guide

Monaco's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Lens 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint Germain.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.2 for Monaco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Paris Saint Germain66%fair 1.52 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @6.50
Monaco17%fair 5.92 · @7.90
3.71Expected goals
2.50Paris Saint Germain xG
1.21Monaco xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.5 – 1.2 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParis Saint Germain to win ✗66%1.521.27
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓83%1.201.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.891.70
Half-time resultParis Saint Germain ahead at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.80–

Form

Paris Saint Germain – last 2

WL
17 Feb@ Monaco3–2W
13 Feb@ Rennes1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Monaco – last 3

WLW
21 Feb@ Lens3–2W
17 Febvs Paris Saint Germain2–3L
13 Febvs Nantes3–1W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Monaco v Paris Saint Germain2–3
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco head-to-head page →

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain4400+1512
2Real Madrid4400+612
3Arsenal4310+510
4Como4301+139
5Barcelona4301+89
6Aston Villa4301+69
7Manchester City4301+59
8Liverpool4301+49
9Club Brugge KV4301+49
10Sporting CP4301+49
11Real Betis4301+29
12Borussia Dortmund4301+29
13Bayern München4220+78
14VfB Stuttgart4211+37
15Inter4202+26
16Lask Linz4202+16
17Manchester United420206
18Galatasaray4202-16
19Fenerbahçe4121-55
20AS Roma4112+24
21Shakhtar Donetsk411204
22Viking4112-14
23Atletico Madrid4112-14
24PSV Eindhoven4112-14
25Bodo/Glimt4112-54
26FC Porto4103-13
27Napoli4103-53
28Villarreal4103-63
29AEK Athens FC4103-63
30RB Leipzig4103-63
31Sabah FA4103-63
32Feyenoord4103-73
33Lens4103-123
34Slavia Praha4013-41
35Lille4013-61
36Slovan Bratislava4004-160

More UEFA Champions League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monaco 17%.

How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.