Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✗66% · @1.27
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League sees Paris Saint Germain take on Monaco on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Parc des Princes.
Form guide
Monaco's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Lens 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint Germain.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.2 for Monaco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 66%, draw 17%, Monaco 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain66%fair 1.52 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @6.50
Monaco17%fair 5.92 · @7.90
3.71Expected goals
2.50Paris Saint Germain xG
1.21Monaco xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.5 – 1.2 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monaco 17%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.