Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League sees Monaco take on Paris Saint Germain on Tuesday 17 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stade Louis II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Monaco and 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monaco 19%, draw 18%, Paris Saint Germain 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Monaco 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monaco19%fair 5.39 · @6.40
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.50
Paris Saint Germain63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
3.34Expected goals
1.11Monaco xG
2.22Paris Saint Germain xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Monaco 1.1 – 2.2 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Monaco – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Nantes
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Rennes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monaco and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Monaco have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Paris Saint Germain 63%.
How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Monaco 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain?
Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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