Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Atalanta to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta preview and prediction
The match
Borussia Dortmund host Atalanta in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 17 February, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Signal Iduna Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.4 for Atalanta. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 65%.
Value angle: Atalanta to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Atalanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Dortmund45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Atalanta34%fair 2.97 · @3.30
3.17Expected goals
1.72Borussia Dortmund xG
1.45Atalanta xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 1.7 – 1.4 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
45%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Borussia Dortmund – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atalanta
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atalanta 34%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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