Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTombense to win ✗74% · @1.22
Double chanceTombense or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Tombense vs Oratório preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Tombense take on Oratório on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for Tombense and 0.6 for Oratório. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tombense 74%, draw 19%, Oratório 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.35.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.35 – 51% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tombense 2–0 Oratório. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tombense74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @5.40
Oratório7%fair 13.79 · @12.00
2.89Expected goals
2.28Tombense xG
0.62Oratório xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tombense 2.3 – 0.6 Oratório expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tombense to win✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Double chance
Tombense or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.35 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Tombense ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tombense / FT Tombense✗
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.30
–
Form
Tombense – last 2
LD
20 Feb
vs Uniao Trabalhadores
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Oratório
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tombense and Oratório.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tombense vs Oratório?
On our numbers Tombense have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Oratório 7%.
How many goals will there be in Tombense vs Oratório?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tombense vs Oratório?
Our predicted score is Tombense 2–0 Oratório, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tombense vs Oratório?
Tombense vs Oratório (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.